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Red215
118207.8
6377141.4
3335133.9
Blue378
4587198.6
1745136.8
5417124.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35731801,0002,0003,0004,000215378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#32
207.82.8
216.1213.3
Auto24.8
Teleop153.1
End26.0
red by 9.1
198.61.2
195.0196.1
Auto20.6
Teleop147.4
End31.9
Second
6377
#34
141.40.3
141.7142.0
Auto15.1
Teleop107.1
End19.0
red by 4.6
1745
#33
136.81.4
138.4137.0
Auto21.4
Teleop99.8
End11.4
Third
3335
#17
133.90.9
133.0133.9
Auto15.0
Teleop106.3
End14.2
red by 9.7
5417
#22
124.20.6
124.9124.2
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
47%Face the Boss oddsMissed23%Face the Boss oddsMissed