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Red233
456167.2
3335133.9
1745136.8
Blue248
6898128.7
323147.7
5427141.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33728102004006008001,000233248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#21
167.20.8
177.5176.7
Auto19.7
Teleop125.4
End20.6
red by 19.5
323
#6
147.70.3
145.8146.1
Auto21.7
Teleop110.2
End17.6
Second
1745
#33
136.82.7
132.1134.8
Auto21.4
Teleop99.8
End11.4
blue by 4.6
5427
#13
141.40.4
147.7147.4
Auto18.2
Teleop105.5
End18.4
Third
3335
#17
133.90.4
131.1130.7
Auto15.0
Teleop106.3
End14.2
red by 5.2
6898
#20
128.70.5
119.9120.5
Auto19.1
Teleop93.4
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed