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Red459
5414160.1
4639144.5
4587198.6
Blue289
148230.3
3997138.1
456167.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26839802006008001,0001,200459289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
198.60.8
187.9188.7
Auto20.6
Teleop147.4
End31.9
blue by 31.7
148
#3
230.30.7
228.3227.6
Auto21.3
Teleop175.6
End33.5
Second
160.10.6
150.3151.0
Auto21.6
Teleop126.1
End16.2
blue by 7.1
456
#21
167.21.1
176.7175.6
Auto19.7
Teleop125.4
End20.6
Third
4639
#10
144.51.7
142.4140.8
Auto20.4
Teleop96.5
End29.4
red by 6.4
3997
#28
138.11.6
139.9141.5
Auto18.2
Teleop108.5
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
32%Face the Boss oddsEarned34%Face the Boss oddsMissed