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Red401
4587198.6
148230.3
1339164.4
Blue301
3481160.4
5572203.4
6898128.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4402950200600800401301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#3
230.30.2
229.7229.9
Auto21.3
Teleop175.6
End33.5
red by 26.9
203.40.3
202.8203.1
Auto23.2
Teleop149.2
End31.4
Second
198.60.4
197.0197.4
Auto20.6
Teleop147.4
End31.9
red by 38.2
160.40.5
159.4159.9
Auto19.6
Teleop121.9
End17.9
Third
1339
#25
164.40.7
167.4166.8
Auto24.0
Teleop123.2
End14.5
red by 35.7
6898
#20
128.70.5
127.8128.3
Auto19.1
Teleop93.4
End19.0