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Red312
2848159.9
2468155.2
5052117.9
Blue133
3481160.4
5417124.2
429598.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3312520100200300400500600312133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.90.0
159.9159.9
Auto24.3
Teleop124.7
End7.6
blue by 0.5
3481
#14
160.40.0
160.4160.4
Auto19.6
Teleop121.9
End17.9
Second
155.20.0
155.2155.2
Auto18.6
Teleop117.1
End20.3
red by 31.0
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End14.5
Third
5052
#19
117.90.0
117.9117.9
Auto17.3
Teleop93.4
End9.5
red by 19.1
4295
#23
98.80.0
98.898.8
Auto13.8
Teleop79.0
End4.0