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Red222
3735140.2
3240119.6
2881121.4
Blue256
1817141.9
4192150.2
6357129.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2813270200400600800222256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#20
140.20.0
140.2140.2
Auto15.9
Teleop104.3
End22.5
blue by 10.0
4192
#10
150.20.0
150.2150.2
Auto20.0
Teleop116.1
End15.0
Second
2881
#22
121.40.0
121.4121.4
Auto17.8
Teleop94.8
End9.3
blue by 20.5
141.90.0
141.9141.9
Auto17.6
Teleop111.5
End13.9
Third
3240
#17
119.60.0
119.6119.6
Auto14.2
Teleop90.0
End19.4
blue by 10.4
129.90.0
129.9129.9
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest odds71%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds