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Red275
2158115.8
3240119.6
3481160.4
Blue235
4192150.2
5052117.9
3735140.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713510100200400500600700800275235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#14
160.40.0
160.4160.4
Auto19.6
Teleop121.9
End17.9
red by 10.2
4192
#10
150.20.0
150.2150.2
Auto20.0
Teleop116.1
End15.0
Second
3240
#17
119.60.0
119.6119.6
Auto14.2
Teleop90.0
End19.4
blue by 20.6
3735
#20
140.20.0
140.2140.2
Auto15.9
Teleop104.3
End22.5
Third
2158
#13
115.80.0
115.8115.8
Auto16.2
Teleop93.0
End5.1
blue by 2.1
5052
#19
117.90.0
117.9117.9
Auto17.3
Teleop93.4
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest odds45%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds