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Red422
2468155.2
1817141.9
2848159.9
Blue163
3481160.4
3999139.1
1296166.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2893340100200400500600700800422163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.90.0
159.9159.9
Auto24.3
Teleop124.7
End7.6
blue by 6.7
166.60.0
166.6166.6
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0
Second
155.20.0
155.2155.2
Auto18.6
Teleop117.1
End20.3
blue by 5.2
3481
#14
160.40.0
160.4160.4
Auto19.6
Teleop121.9
End17.9
Third
141.90.0
141.9141.9
Auto17.6
Teleop111.5
End13.9
red by 2.8
3999
#18
139.10.0
139.1139.1
Auto20.8
Teleop104.3
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest odds87%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds5%Face the Boss odds