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Red409
418145.1
4610124.5
4192150.2
Blue188
2848159.9
2158115.8
5052117.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3292600100200300400500409188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4192
#10
150.20.0
150.2150.2
Auto20.0
Teleop116.1
End15.0
blue by 9.7
159.90.0
159.9159.9
Auto24.3
Teleop124.7
End7.6
Second
418
#12
145.10.0
145.1145.1
Auto20.8
Teleop117.4
End7.6
red by 27.3
5052
#19
117.90.0
117.9117.9
Auto17.3
Teleop93.4
End9.5
Third
124.50.0
124.5124.5
Auto17.9
Teleop96.5
End9.7
red by 8.7
2158
#13
115.80.0
115.8115.8
Auto16.2
Teleop93.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest odds73%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds2%Face the Boss odds