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Red362
3481160.4
5417124.2
429598.8
Blue276
1296166.6
4610124.5
3999139.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2543390100200300400500600700362276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#14
160.40.0
160.4160.4
Auto19.6
Teleop121.9
End17.9
blue by 6.2
166.60.0
166.6166.6
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0
Second
124.20.0
124.2124.2
Auto17.6
Teleop91.9
End14.5
blue by 14.9
3999
#18
139.10.0
139.1139.1
Auto20.8
Teleop104.3
End11.2
Third
4295
#23
98.80.0
98.898.8
Auto13.8
Teleop79.0
End4.0
blue by 25.7
124.50.0
124.5124.5
Auto17.9
Teleop96.5
End9.7