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Red459
3481170.6
3847161.5
5726112.1
Blue219
5986152.0
5572196.0
4219129.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3133910200600800459219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.60.5
169.0169.5
Auto20.0
Teleop124.6
End28.5
blue by 25.4
196.00.2
195.8196.0
Auto22.7
Teleop145.1
End29.0
Second
161.50.9
158.8159.7
Auto24.7
Teleop120.9
End17.4
red by 9.5
152.00.1
152.0152.1
Auto18.1
Teleop119.5
End13.5
Third
5726
#51
112.10.3
110.9111.2
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End11.5
blue by 17.2
4219
#22
129.30.1
129.8129.7
Auto16.2
Teleop91.1
End23.0