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Red430
4063156.4
473499.6
5681111.4
Blue184
6684110.4
3028108.4
5103108.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27224850100150200300350400450430184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.40.2
149.7149.5
Auto23.5
Teleop119.5
End13.9
red by 46.0
6684
#43
110.42.9
103.8106.7
Auto13.2
Teleop87.1
End10.2
Second
5681
#29
111.41.2
99.5100.7
Auto16.1
Teleop87.9
End11.7
red by 3.0
3028
#50
108.42.9
102.3105.2
Auto15.0
Teleop79.7
End10.3
Third
4734
#36
99.60.3
95.194.8
Auto15.7
Teleop77.8
End7.4
blue by 8.6
5103
#48
108.21.9
106.5108.4
Auto13.0
Teleop83.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed