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Red383
4610119.8
6306110.7
5572196.0
Blue193
6935110.4
5866123.3
6830122.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326262100200300400500383193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.01.4
184.0185.4
Auto22.7
Teleop145.1
End29.0
red by 72.7
5866
#12
123.31.5
114.0115.5
Auto13.1
Teleop100.4
End8.6
Second
4610
#40
119.80.1
120.3120.4
Auto15.5
Teleop86.3
End19.6
blue by 2.9
6830
#27
122.73.6
102.0105.5
Auto15.6
Teleop95.9
End8.9
Third
6306
#41
110.70.5
93.994.4
Auto15.6
Teleop82.8
End10.6
red by 0.2
6935
#28DQ
110.46.2
100.9107.1
Auto16.3
Teleop82.2
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed