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Qual 462018 Alamo Regional
Red133
473499.6
5241111.0
4610119.8
Blue289
296985.5
6315115.8
3240119.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2932410100200400500133289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4610
#40
119.80.9
120.4→121.3
Auto15.5
Teleop86.3
End19.6
red by 0.2
3240
#23
119.64.0
102.9→106.8
Auto14.2
Teleop90.0
End19.4
Second
5241
#30
111.03.2
108.4→111.6
Auto14.8
Teleop86.0
End11.0
blue by 4.8
6315
#33
115.83.8
105.9→109.7
Auto14.3
Teleop87.2
End15.8
Third
4734
#36
99.61.0
94.8→95.8
Auto15.7
Teleop77.8
End7.4
red by 14.1
2969
#49
85.52.1
93.2→91.1
Auto11.7
Teleop68.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed