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Red299
6935110.4
3679138.0
246196.6
Blue244
6155123.2
3240119.6
4063156.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1973590100300400500600299244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138.02.7
126.1128.7
Auto16.7
Teleop98.0
End25.0
blue by 18.4
156.41.7
150.6152.3
Auto23.5
Teleop119.5
End13.9
Second
6935
#28
110.41.3
110.7109.4
Auto16.3
Teleop82.2
End9.5
blue by 12.8
6155
#11
123.24.8
113.7118.5
Auto18.0
Teleop92.7
End14.9
Third
2461
#44
96.60.3
95.595.3
Auto14.6
Teleop73.1
End9.0
blue by 23.0
3240
#23
119.63.8
106.8110.7
Auto14.2
Teleop90.0
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed