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Red488
5754114.8
2723133.8
3847161.5
Blue171
3028108.4
7138121.5
4610119.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3362700100200300400500488171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
161.51.6
149.6151.3
Auto24.7
Teleop120.9
End17.4
red by 40.0
7138
#26
121.53.8
119.5123.2
Auto14.6
Teleop95.5
End9.4
Second
2723
#25
133.80.7
131.6132.3
Auto15.6
Teleop104.1
End15.9
red by 14.0
4610
#40
119.80.3
121.5121.2
Auto15.5
Teleop86.3
End19.6
Third
5754
#18
114.80.0
112.9112.9
Auto16.4
Teleop87.5
End12.3
red by 6.4
3028
#50
108.43.0
106.6109.7
Auto15.0
Teleop79.7
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed