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Red435
3481170.6
5681111.4
4206140.3
Blue210
2721116.2
6155123.2
296985.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3542080100300400500435210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.61.4
162.2163.6
Auto20.0
Teleop124.6
End28.5
red by 47.5
6155
#11
123.22.4
118.5120.9
Auto18.0
Teleop92.7
End14.9
Second
4206
#10
140.30.5
138.1137.6
Auto20.1
Teleop105.9
End16.6
red by 24.1
2721
#34
116.21.1
117.9116.8
Auto14.8
Teleop88.3
End10.6
Third
5681
#29
111.40.4
107.4107.0
Auto16.1
Teleop87.9
End11.7
red by 26.0
2969
#49
85.52.7
90.888.0
Auto11.7
Teleop68.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed