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Red468
6357113.8
5572196.0
3997138.4
Blue184
65397.4
3679138.0
4219129.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391223100300500600700468184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.01.4
189.9191.3
Auto22.7
Teleop145.1
End29.0
red by 58.0
138.03.2
128.7131.9
Auto16.7
Teleop98.0
End25.0
Second
138.40.7
129.7130.4
Auto18.4
Teleop106.2
End13.4
red by 9.0
4219
#22
129.30.1
130.6130.8
Auto16.2
Teleop91.1
End23.0
Third
6357
#13
113.80.0
111.1111.1
Auto15.0
Teleop87.4
End10.8
red by 16.4
653
#38
97.41.0
100.899.8
Auto13.0
Teleop73.0
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed