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Red144
2723133.8
4332109.3
5241111.0
Blue325
5503111.9
4639147.9
3481170.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247372100200300400500600144325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2723
#25
133.81.1
132.3133.4
Auto15.6
Teleop104.1
End15.9
blue by 36.8
170.62.1
163.6165.7
Auto20.0
Teleop124.6
End28.5
Second
5241
#30
111.00.2
113.0112.8
Auto14.8
Teleop86.0
End11.0
blue by 36.9
147.90.8
144.8145.6
Auto21.7
Teleop99.0
End29.8
Third
4332
#39
109.30.9
109.6110.5
Auto15.8
Teleop89.4
End3.8
blue by 2.6
5503
#42
111.90.1
112.0111.8
Auto13.9
Teleop82.5
End19.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned