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Qual 82018 Alamo Regional
Red117
4219129.3
7088114.0
706395.8
Blue110
5241111.0
6935110.4
5726112.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280257100150200300350400450117110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4219
#22
129.30.7
133.1→132.5
Auto16.2
Teleop91.1
End23.0
red by 17.2
5726
#51
112.117.4
62.5→79.9
Auto14.4
Teleop88.1
End11.5
Second
7088
#46
114.036.2
114.0→77.7
Auto14.8
Teleop86.7
End9.4
red by 3.0
5241
#30
111.017.4
62.3→79.7
Auto14.8
Teleop86.0
End11.0
Third
7063
#47
95.815.6
93.3→77.7
Auto12.7
Teleop71.5
End15.7
blue by 14.7
6935
#28
110.432.7
110.4→77.7
Auto16.3
Teleop82.2
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed