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Qual 812018 Alamo Regional
Red282
5503111.9
706395.8
5894108.3
Blue391
5681111.4
5572196.0
6315115.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1644020100200300500600700282391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5503
#42
111.90.1
111.8→111.9
Auto13.9
Teleop82.5
End19.1
blue by 84.1
5572
#4
196.01.0
193.2→194.2
Auto22.7
Teleop145.1
End29.0
Second
5894
#24
108.31.0
107.3→108.3
Auto14.8
Teleop82.0
End13.2
blue by 7.5
6315
#33
115.80.3
115.5→115.8
Auto14.3
Teleop87.2
End15.8
Third
7063
#47
95.80.1
95.8→95.8
Auto12.7
Teleop71.5
End15.7
blue by 15.7
5681
#29
111.42.5
108.9→111.4
Auto16.1
Teleop87.9
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed