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Red219
4332109.3
4219129.3
6155123.2
Blue345
1642104.9
4063156.4
4694106.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276282200220240260300320340219345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4219
#22
129.30.6
130.5129.9
Auto16.2
Teleop91.1
End23.0
blue by 27.1
156.40.3
154.4154.7
Auto23.5
Teleop119.5
End13.9
Second
6155
#11
123.20.6
121.9122.5
Auto18.0
Teleop92.7
End14.9
red by 16.9
4694
#19
106.30.1
106.4106.3
Auto14.6
Teleop85.8
End7.3
Third
4332
#39
109.31.2
110.5109.3
Auto15.8
Teleop89.4
End3.8
red by 4.4
1642
#16
104.90.2
105.1104.9
Auto17.1
Teleop80.6
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed