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Final 12018 Texas UIL State Championship
Red464
3310226.7
118228.6
5427147.7
Blue282
3005195.3
148228.6
4639143.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413328100200500600700464282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
228.60.1
228.8→228.7
Auto24.0
Teleop166.7
End37.1
Level
148
#4
228.60.1
228.4→228.6
Auto22.5
Teleop172.1
End29.6
Second
3310
#3
226.70.0
226.7→226.7
Auto24.7
Teleop173.6
End26.7
red by 31.4
3005
#5
195.30.2
194.9→195.1
Auto23.9
Teleop148.9
End20.5
Third
5427
#13
147.70.1
147.9→147.8
Auto18.8
Teleop111.2
End18.3
red by 4.0
4639
#21
143.80.3
144.4→144.1
Auto20.2
Teleop95.8
End25.0