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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Texas UIL State Championship
Red405
4587187.9
624231.0
5726120.4
Blue222
2468164.1
4610122.5
4063159.3
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439275100200400500600700405222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#2
231.00.1
230.7→230.8
Auto25.9
Teleop162.8
End42.7
red by 66.9
2468
#17
164.10.1
164.3→164.2
Auto21.2
Teleop124.8
End18.5
Second
4587
#6
187.90.2
187.4→187.6
Auto21.5
Teleop139.7
End25.7
red by 28.6
4063
#26
159.30.3
159.9→159.6
Auto22.7
Teleop122.5
End11.3
Third
5726
#30
120.40.1
120.0→120.2
Auto17.4
Teleop85.5
End17.4
blue by 2.1
4610
#10
122.50.3
121.9→122.3
Auto17.5
Teleop91.9
End10.2