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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Texas UIL State Championship
Red528
3005195.3
148228.6
4639143.8
Blue144
5414150.4
3355135.9
6357129.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4661810100300400500600700528144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#4
228.60.4
226.7→227.1
Auto22.5
Teleop172.1
End29.6
red by 78.1
5414
#12
150.40.1
150.3→150.4
Auto22.2
Teleop119.4
End8.6
Second
3005
#5
195.30.5
192.6→193.2
Auto23.9
Teleop148.9
End20.5
red by 59.4
3355
#9
135.90.5
135.0→135.5
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.3
Third
4639
#21
143.80.2
145.1→145.0
Auto20.2
Teleop95.8
End25.0
red by 13.8
6357
#25
129.90.1
130.2→130.1
Auto18.5
Teleop99.2
End9.8