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Red432
1255135.0
4219124.2
148228.6
Blue259
4063159.3
4717111.1
5427147.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3522420100200300400500600432259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#4
228.60.4
224.7224.3
Auto22.5
Teleop172.1
End29.6
red by 69.3
4063
#26
159.30.1
157.3157.4
Auto22.7
Teleop122.5
End11.3
Second
1255
#11
135.00.4
135.0135.5
Auto15.0
Teleop107.6
End13.6
blue by 12.7
5427
#13
147.70.2
144.3144.1
Auto18.8
Teleop111.2
End18.3
Third
4219
#18
124.21.8
126.6124.8
Auto17.3
Teleop83.8
End26.0
red by 13.1
4717
#31
111.11.5
106.6108.1
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
54%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed