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Qual 372018 Texas UIL State Championship
Red498
3310226.7
4639143.8
1817141.9
Blue228
4219124.2
4717111.1
3481163.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4261830100300500600498228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#3
226.71.3
221.1→222.3
Auto24.7
Teleop173.6
End26.7
red by 63.1
3481
#7
163.60.7
165.4→164.7
Auto21.2
Teleop120.0
End20.6
Second
4639
#21
143.80.8
145.6→144.8
Auto20.2
Teleop95.8
End25.0
red by 19.6
4219
#18
124.20.5
122.3→122.9
Auto17.3
Teleop83.8
End26.0
Third
1817
#16
141.90.4
142.3→141.8
Auto17.6
Teleop111.5
End13.9
red by 30.7
4717
#31
111.10.3
112.4→112.1
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsEarned12%Face the Boss oddsMissed