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Red209
6800167.3
418145.1
4639143.8
Blue480
624231.0
5427147.7
3310226.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2614350100200300400500600700209480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#15
167.31.7
164.0165.6
Auto22.1
Teleop134.5
End10.7
blue by 63.6
624
#2
231.01.5
229.8228.3
Auto25.9
Teleop162.8
End42.7
Second
418
#29
145.10.9
153.3152.4
Auto20.8
Teleop117.4
End7.6
blue by 81.5
226.70.1
216.9216.8
Auto24.7
Teleop173.6
End26.7
Third
4639
#21
143.80.3
148.5148.8
Auto20.2
Teleop95.8
End25.0
blue by 4.0
5427
#13
147.71.1
145.4144.3
Auto18.8
Teleop111.2
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsMissed97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed89%Face the Boss oddsEarned