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Red274
1745136.8
6171122.7
1296166.6
Blue185
3355135.9
2341148.5
4192150.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317313150200250350400450500274185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.60.0
166.6166.6
Auto21.1
Teleop133.5
End9.0
red by 16.4
150.20.0
150.2150.2
Auto20.0
Teleop116.1
End15.0
Second
1745
#13
136.80.0
136.8136.8
Auto21.4
Teleop99.8
End11.4
blue by 11.8
2341
#15
148.50.0
148.5148.5
Auto18.0
Teleop110.9
End21.4
Third
122.70.0
122.7122.7
Auto15.6
Teleop95.0
End11.9
blue by 13.2
135.90.0
135.9135.9
Auto17.9
Teleop104.8
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest odds55%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss odds9%Face the Boss odds