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Red353
399158.9
1678206.4
1410120.9
Blue281
670155.4
3230164.9
159122.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404296100200500600700353281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
206.41.2
205.1206.4
Auto28.1
Teleop140.1
End39.9
red by 41.4
164.90.1
164.9164.9
Auto20.6
Teleop119.9
End21.2
Second
399
#16
158.91.3
157.6158.9
Auto15.5
Teleop120.9
End22.7
red by 3.6
670
#4
155.40.5
154.9155.4
Auto19.9
Teleop115.0
End17.6
Third
1410
#42
120.90.3
120.7120.9
Auto17.2
Teleop93.2
End10.5
blue by 1.0
159
#47
122.00.1
122.1122.0
Auto19.7
Teleop89.3
End10.0