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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Utah Regional
Red298
670155.4
3230164.9
159122.0
Blue181
3239134.9
3374138.3
5933131.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354307200400500600298181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#3
164.90.1
164.4→164.5
Auto20.6
Teleop119.9
End21.2
red by 26.7
3374
#8
138.30.8
137.5→138.3
Auto16.5
Teleop109.7
End12.9
Second
670
#4
155.40.7
152.5→153.2
Auto19.9
Teleop115.0
End17.6
red by 20.4
3239
#13
134.90.8
134.1→134.9
Auto19.5
Teleop107.6
End10.3
Third
159
#47
122.00.1
122.5→122.4
Auto19.7
Teleop89.3
End10.0
blue by 9.0
5933
#19
131.01.0
130.0→131.0
Auto20.1
Teleop99.9
End13.8