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Qual 282018 Utah Regional
Red265
6400120.0
7151112.1
1678206.4
Blue412
2972119.1
1339175.1
2468164.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310324100200400500265412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#1
206.46.0
165.5→171.5
Auto28.1
Teleop140.1
End39.9
red by 31.3
1339
#2
175.19.6
132.4→142.0
Auto25.2
Teleop126.1
End24.3
Second
6400
#17
120.05.7
101.6→107.3
Auto15.7
Teleop86.8
End17.8
blue by 44.6
2468
#6
164.66.7
136.6→143.3
Auto21.6
Teleop118.1
End22.4
Third
7151
#38
112.16.8
95.1→101.9
Auto15.5
Teleop83.0
End11.4
blue by 7.0
2972
#15
119.13.4
103.5→106.9
Auto16.6
Teleop99.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed