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Qual 402018 Utah Regional
Red352
6844107.8
5071120.9
4550148.5
Blue166
5871114.0
3243107.7
5493113.4
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265249100200300400500352166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#5
148.56.1
124.3→130.3
Auto17.5
Teleop108.6
End25.2
red by 34.5
5871
#41
114.04.6
104.7→109.3
Auto16.0
Teleop87.1
End11.9
Second
5071
#28
120.93.2
104.5→107.7
Auto15.3
Teleop94.4
End11.4
red by 7.5
5493
#45
113.40.3
109.5→109.8
Auto14.0
Teleop91.0
End6.7
Third
6844
#40
107.80.1
98.3→98.4
Auto13.4
Teleop85.1
End9.9
red by 0.1
3243
#39
107.70.8
106.8→106.0
Auto14.7
Teleop79.2
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed