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Qual 472018 Utah Regional
Red322
5493113.4
3200110.1
670155.4
Blue183
6400120.0
6358132.5
5461121.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270297100200400500322183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#4
155.47.1
123.6→130.6
Auto19.9
Teleop115.0
End17.6
red by 22.9
6358
#32
132.55.1
123.2→128.3
Auto15.5
Teleop97.7
End19.8
Second
5493
#45
113.40.3
109.8→109.4
Auto14.0
Teleop91.0
End6.7
blue by 8.2
5461
#18
121.72.4
122.6→125.0
Auto16.1
Teleop92.9
End14.5
Third
3200
#14
110.10.3
105.2→104.9
Auto17.6
Teleop87.4
End6.9
blue by 9.9
6400
#17
120.02.9
111.8→114.7
Auto15.7
Teleop86.8
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed