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Red219
645798.2
2594121.5
841107.0
Blue312
5933131.0
7151112.1
6717122.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2233000100400500600219312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2594
#22
121.51.6
114.6116.3
Auto14.7
Teleop95.6
End13.4
blue by 9.5
5933
#19
131.02.1
119.7121.8
Auto20.1
Teleop99.9
End13.8
Second
841
#52
107.00.3
104.9104.6
Auto15.8
Teleop86.1
End8.1
blue by 15.3
6717
#26
122.33.9
109.8113.7
Auto14.7
Teleop89.3
End19.2
Third
6457
#37
98.20.6
97.498.0
Auto14.1
Teleop77.9
End7.5
blue by 13.8
7151
#38
112.12.0
107.0109.0
Auto15.5
Teleop83.0
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed