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Qual 532018 Utah Regional
Red294
4598108.2
2996152.8
2972119.1
Blue183
3230164.9
3729109.7
434886.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279277200250300350400294183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#9
152.87.1
131.7→138.8
Auto16.6
Teleop116.4
End22.4
blue by 12.1
3230
#3
164.95.6
154.0→159.6
Auto20.6
Teleop119.9
End21.2
Second
2972
#15
119.12.1
113.1→115.1
Auto16.6
Teleop99.0
End2.6
red by 9.4
3729
#51
109.71.1
109.6→110.7
Auto14.6
Teleop84.7
End8.8
Third
4598
#31
108.20.2
104.2→104.4
Auto16.4
Teleop88.5
End2.5
red by 21.8
4348
#50
86.30.7
88.3→87.6
Auto12.8
Teleop73.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed