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Red226
3245128.7
3230164.9
6717122.3
Blue472
1678206.4
5071120.9
4944160.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304384200500600226472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.92.4
161.9164.2
Auto20.6
Teleop119.9
End21.2
blue by 41.4
206.44.9
192.7197.6
Auto28.1
Teleop140.1
End39.9
Second
3245
#20
128.72.6
125.8128.4
Auto19.7
Teleop96.0
End11.7
blue by 31.9
4944
#11
160.63.5
152.3155.8
Auto15.5
Teleop124.1
End23.4
Third
6717
#26
122.32.1
120.2122.3
Auto14.7
Teleop89.3
End19.2
red by 1.4
5071
#28
120.91.3
119.7120.9
Auto15.3
Teleop94.4
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsEarned