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Red400
384166.1
1599159.9
5279144.9
Blue248
3258152.4
1413148.4
2890139.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381326100200300500600400248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#4
166.10.4
164.1164.6
Auto16.3
Teleop125.3
End23.2
red by 13.7
3258
#10
152.40.3
152.1152.4
Auto16.4
Teleop114.5
End24.0
Second
159.90.2
158.9159.1
Auto19.0
Teleop112.8
End28.3
red by 11.5
148.40.1
148.3148.4
Auto18.5
Teleop111.1
End18.1
Third
5279
#27
144.90.1
144.6144.7
Auto18.3
Teleop104.1
End22.7
red by 5.3
2890
#21
139.60.3
140.0139.6
Auto18.1
Teleop100.4
End17.6