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Red204
6194130.5
4505133.9
3939122.5
Blue340
1413148.4
6543106.4
4466131.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3462550100200300400500600204340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4505
#25
133.90.7
133.3134.1
Auto16.4
Teleop105.1
End13.1
blue by 14.5
148.40.1
136.6136.7
Auto18.5
Teleop111.1
End18.1
Second
6194
#23
130.50.6
126.0126.6
Auto17.6
Teleop94.1
End19.9
blue by 1.3
4466
#28
131.88.6
93.6102.3
Auto18.3
Teleop93.9
End17.6
Third
3939
#30
122.51.2
119.2120.4
Auto16.2
Teleop96.2
End14.8
red by 16.0
6543
#24
106.41.2
91.792.9
Auto14.5
Teleop79.5
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed