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Red300
1123108.5
4466131.8
401142.6
Blue312
5724152.7
1413148.4
3136127.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2453730100200300500600300312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#15
142.61.1
128.9130.0
Auto19.4
Teleop106.7
End16.3
blue by 10.1
152.72.0
143.9146.0
Auto17.8
Teleop115.1
End20.4
Second
4466
#28
131.87.7
102.3110.0
Auto18.3
Teleop93.9
End17.6
blue by 16.6
148.40.8
136.7137.6
Auto18.5
Teleop111.1
End18.1
Third
1123
#22
108.51.2
108.6107.3
Auto16.8
Teleop82.4
End12.3
blue by 18.6
3136
#29
127.00.0
127.8127.8
Auto15.4
Teleop87.4
End24.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned