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Red417
3455143.4
2890139.6
1262184.2
Blue229
1080131.6
6802147.6
6194130.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378293100200500600417229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.20.3
185.3185.6
Auto23.3
Teleop133.2
End27.8
red by 36.6
6802
#18
147.60.2
144.5144.7
Auto20.4
Teleop113.4
End17.1
Second
3455
#14
143.41.6
135.5137.1
Auto23.6
Teleop105.5
End15.0
red by 11.8
1080
#12
131.62.0
121.7123.7
Auto17.8
Teleop96.3
End17.9
Third
2890
#21
139.60.6
132.7133.3
Auto18.1
Teleop100.4
End17.6
red by 9.1
6194
#23
130.50.0
126.6126.7
Auto17.6
Teleop94.1
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed