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Red403
384166.1
977141.4
3359106.7
Blue167
1123108.5
4466131.8
336197.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3652140100300400500403167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#4
166.10.2
161.5161.3
Auto16.3
Teleop125.3
End23.2
red by 34.3
4466
#28
131.87.0
110.0116.9
Auto18.3
Teleop93.9
End17.6
Second
977
#8
141.41.6
131.3132.9
Auto18.2
Teleop105.0
End17.7
red by 32.9
1123
#22
108.50.3
107.3107.0
Auto16.8
Teleop82.4
End12.3
Third
3359
#20
106.70.4
106.4106.1
Auto15.9
Teleop78.4
End10.0
red by 9.0
3361
#16
97.71.5
97.796.2
Auto14.6
Teleop79.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed