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Red264
1080131.6
5279144.9
4466131.8
Blue448
3274140.1
3359106.7
401142.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3233030100200400500600700800264448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5279
#27
144.90.3
144.4144.7
Auto18.3
Teleop104.1
End22.7
red by 2.3
401
#15
142.61.7
132.9134.6
Auto19.4
Teleop106.7
End16.3
Second
4466
#28
131.82.6
120.8123.4
Auto18.3
Teleop93.9
End17.6
blue by 8.2
140.11.4
126.2127.5
Auto15.0
Teleop110.8
End19.2
Third
1080
#12
131.60.9
126.2127.1
Auto17.8
Teleop96.3
End17.9
red by 24.9
3359
#20
106.70.5
105.7105.2
Auto15.9
Teleop78.4
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed