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Red282
336197.7
401142.6
5724152.7
Blue239
1123108.5
3939122.5
977141.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330269100200300400500600700282239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
152.70.2
152.1152.4
Auto17.8
Teleop115.1
End20.4
red by 11.4
977
#8
141.41.3
137.6138.9
Auto18.2
Teleop105.0
End17.7
Second
401
#15
142.60.9
139.0140.0
Auto19.4
Teleop106.7
End16.3
red by 20.2
3939
#30
122.50.1
121.8121.9
Auto16.2
Teleop96.2
End14.8
Third
3361
#16
97.70.5
95.495.9
Auto14.6
Teleop79.6
End5.7
blue by 10.8
1123
#22
108.50.6
106.4107.0
Auto16.8
Teleop82.4
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed