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Red244
1123108.5
6802147.6
401142.6
Blue340
1262184.2
159896.4
6543106.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341275100200400500600244340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6802
#18
147.62.0
141.5143.5
Auto20.4
Teleop113.4
End17.1
blue by 36.6
184.20.6
183.2183.8
Auto23.3
Teleop133.2
End27.8
Second
401
#15
142.61.9
125.8127.7
Auto19.4
Teleop106.7
End16.3
red by 36.2
6543
#24
106.41.1
90.691.7
Auto14.5
Teleop79.5
End14.2
Third
1123
#22
108.50.1
109.9109.8
Auto16.8
Teleop82.4
End12.3
red by 12.0
1598
#26
96.40.2
99.399.1
Auto13.9
Teleop73.0
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed