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Red421
384166.1
1599159.9
5279144.9
Blue186
401142.6
3274140.1
3359106.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402273100200300500600421186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#4
166.10.4
165.0165.4
Auto16.3
Teleop125.3
End23.2
red by 23.5
401
#15
142.60.3
142.4142.6
Auto19.4
Teleop106.7
End16.3
Second
159.90.2
159.3159.6
Auto19.0
Teleop112.8
End28.3
red by 19.8
140.10.8
139.3140.1
Auto15.0
Teleop110.8
End19.2
Third
5279
#27
144.90.1
144.8144.9
Auto18.3
Teleop104.1
End22.7
red by 38.3
3359
#20
106.70.3
106.9106.7
Auto15.9
Teleop78.4
End10.0