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Red274
1629179.7
225196.8
3793115.2
Blue317
1885156.2
1731184.0
4456122.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375319200400500600274317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
196.80.6
196.2196.8
Auto24.7
Teleop144.7
End28.2
red by 12.8
184.00.4
183.6184.0
Auto22.9
Teleop142.5
End20.1
Second
179.70.4
179.4179.7
Auto24.4
Teleop131.9
End22.8
red by 23.5
156.20.3
155.9156.2
Auto17.0
Teleop118.1
End20.2
Third
3793
#31
115.20.0
115.2115.2
Auto18.0
Teleop88.0
End7.7
blue by 7.1
4456
#30
122.20.1
122.1122.2
Auto16.5
Teleop94.1
End12.3