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Red424
1629179.7
225196.8
3793115.2
Blue95
2849125.4
2199143.3
1111144.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41825510020030050060070042495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
196.81.0
191.8192.7
Auto24.7
Teleop144.7
End28.2
red by 52.1
1111
#17
144.70.4
145.1144.7
Auto17.2
Teleop110.0
End14.5
Second
179.70.5
176.8177.3
Auto24.4
Teleop131.9
End22.8
red by 36.4
2199
#13
143.30.4
142.9143.3
Auto21.2
Teleop112.1
End7.6
Third
3793
#31
115.20.0
114.9114.9
Auto18.0
Teleop88.0
End7.7
blue by 10.3
2849
#18
125.40.4
125.1125.4
Auto18.4
Teleop94.8
End11.7