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Red382
2377165.1
2961114.1
5587134.3
Blue192
2199143.3
1446102.2
4821110.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2962340100200400500600382192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.19.1
110.0119.1
Auto21.0
Teleop125.3
End22.7
red by 21.8
2199
#13
143.37.0
104.8111.8
Auto21.2
Teleop112.1
End7.6
Second
5587
#14
134.38.3
100.3108.6
Auto19.4
Teleop100.3
End14.5
red by 23.7
4821
#24
110.77.0
85.192.0
Auto13.3
Teleop87.5
End10.7
Third
2961
#29
114.12.7
95.798.4
Auto11.7
Teleop92.7
End6.2
red by 11.9
1446
#22
102.26.5
91.397.8
Auto14.8
Teleop81.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed