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Red187
5243117.3
1915105.2
6326129.9
Blue159
2199143.3
446495.1
374890.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273293150200250350400187159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6326
#20
129.915.0
83.798.7
Auto13.5
Teleop100.6
End15.2
blue by 13.4
2199
#13
143.315.2
82.197.3
Auto21.2
Teleop112.1
End7.6
Second
5243
#27
117.315.7
76.992.7
Auto15.0
Teleop95.8
End4.8
red by 22.1
4464
#33DQ
95.115.0
83.898.8
Auto15.3
Teleop73.0
End7.6
Third
1915
#25
105.217.1
64.381.5
Auto13.5
Teleop83.8
End10.5
red by 14.5
3748
#38
90.716.1
73.789.8
Auto14.3
Teleop71.8
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed